Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.042379 0.049570 0.057486 0.066829 0.077536 0.089405 0.103540
2025-02-16 0.029700 0.038623 0.049399 0.063300 0.080683 0.101617 0.128645
2025-02-23 0.021529 0.030825 0.043028 0.060060 0.083036 0.112744 0.153816
2025-03-02 0.016313 0.025502 0.038508 0.057982 0.086062 0.124677 0.181282
2025-03-09 0.013212 0.022357 0.036201 0.058257 0.091964 0.140842 0.216158
2025-03-16 0.010395 0.018976 0.032825 0.056212 0.093934 0.151366 0.243978
2025-03-23 0.009132 0.017812 0.032619 0.058903 0.103283 0.173678 0.291578
2025-03-30 0.007747 0.016124 0.031203 0.059288 0.108826 0.190508 0.332270
2025-04-06 0.006386 0.014173 0.028956 0.057811 0.110904 0.201766 0.364910
2025-04-13 0.005342 0.012611 0.027124 0.056733 0.113407 0.213808 0.399811
2025-04-20 0.004901 0.012200 0.027416 0.059649 0.123436 0.239752 0.460936
2025-04-27 0.004453 0.011678 0.027387 0.061895 0.132402 0.264573 0.522215
2025-05-04 0.003680 0.010256 0.025272 0.059671 0.132580 0.273620 0.556378
2025-05-11 0.003147 0.009294 0.023992 0.059011 0.135801 0.288721 0.603304
2025-05-18 0.002633 0.008253 0.022338 0.057260 0.136511 0.298982 0.641909
2025-05-25 0.002227 0.007399 0.020969 0.055929 0.137913 0.310693 0.684354
2025-06-01 0.001978 0.006928 0.020462 0.056544 0.143654 0.331769 0.747371
2025-06-08 0.001661 0.006167 0.019058 0.054730 0.143610 0.340656 0.786081
2025-06-15 0.001562 0.006070 0.019423 0.057451 0.154513 0.374041 0.878974
2025-06-22 0.001393 0.005694 0.018939 0.057878 0.159933 0.395860 0.948892
2025-06-29 0.001189 0.005141 0.017835 0.056458 0.160612 0.407092 0.996648
2025-07-06 0.001026 0.004682 0.016922 0.055416 0.162099 0.420270 1.049768
2025-07-13 0.000978 0.004654 0.017348 0.058278 0.174058 0.458952 1.163595